Credit Risk in Emerging Markets
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Module I: Overview of Risk in Emerging Markets
- Define economic and country risk
- Identify and analyze other risks in emerging markets
- Market (interest rate, commodity, and currency risks)
- Liquidity, operations, and legal risks
- Evaluate corporate governance, complex ownership structures, and government stakes
- Case Study
Module II: The Credit Process
- Identify the importance of each component of the credit process
- Evaluate the critical importance of the identification, measurement and evaluation of risk in the credit process
- Evaluate the quality of the credit process
- Establish how disbursed loans and derivatives counterparties need to be monitored
- Compare and contrast strategies to work out problem loans and problems with derivatives counterparties
Module III: Credit Analysis
- Describe the basic elements of a quality credit process
- Establishing underwriting criteria
- Steps to assess potential borrower's credit worthiness
- Internal financial information
- Market signals
- Ratings, stock price, and credit spreads
- Analyzing borrower's and counterparty' collateral
- Discern best practice credit analysis techniques when reviewing emerging market borrower financial statements
- Analyze key factors in a balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statements
- Compare and contrast useful financial ratios
- Evaluate the appropriateness, quality and results of the credit analysis techniques used in the credit process
- Compare and contrast rating agencies' credit analysis
- Case Study
Module IV: Overview of Credit Risk Measurement
- Discuss typical measurement models used by credit risk practitioners
- Compare and contrast measurement models and their applicability to emerging markets
- CVaR
- Credit Risk Metrics
- KMV
- Identify advantages and risks in credit risk models as applied to emerging markets
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